GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 7/9/2026, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

NSI Runavik · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

NSI Runavik are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Hamrun Spartans are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and NSI Runavik hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (48.5 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.6% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while NSI Runavik holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

NSI Runavik

Probability

40.6%

Model confidence

40.6%

NSI Runavik has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NSI RunavikDDWWW

GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Hamrun SpartansWLLWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NSI RunavikHamrun Spartans
38.9Attack33.3
55.6Defence50.0
44.4Form16.7
48.5Power36.5
1.42xG1.11
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