GGOALVIO

World · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/13/2026, 5:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

FC Lugano · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

NSI Runavik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Lugano are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lugano hold a 43.1-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 92.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while FC Lugano holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

FC Lugano

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

13.1%

FC Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NSI RunavikWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
FC LuganoWWWWW

GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
NSI RunavikFC Lugano
33.3Attack88.9
60.0Defence88.9
46.7Form100.0
48.8Power92.0
0.99xG1.62
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