NSI Runavikvs
FC Lugano
COMPLETEDWorld · UEFA Europa Conference League · 8/13/2026, 5:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Lugano · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
NSI Runavik are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while FC Lugano are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Lugano hold a 43.1-point power-rating edge (48.8 v 92.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.1% in the UEFA Europa Conference League, while FC Lugano holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FC Lugano
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
13.1%
FC Lugano has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 18 · GA 3 · avg 3.60/0.60