Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
VSK Århus · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Næsby are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while VSK Århus are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and VSK Århus hold a 14.2-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 75.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the Friendlies Clubs, while VSK Århus holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
VSK Århus
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
VSK Århus has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20