Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Næsby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Næsby are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sundby are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Næsby hold a 20.9-point power-rating edge (43.8 v 22.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.3% in the 3. Division, while Næsby holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Næsby
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Næsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40