Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Næsby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Næsby are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Skive are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWWDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Næsby hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Næsby holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Næsby
Probability
38.9%
Model confidence
38.9%
Næsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60