Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Næsby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Næsby are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Gørslev are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Næsby hold a 37.9-point power-rating edge (61.5 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.1% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Næsby holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Næsby
Probability
48.1%
Model confidence
48.1%
Næsby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 8 · GA 12 · avg 1.60/2.40