Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NSÍ II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
NSÍ II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Hoyvík are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and NSÍ II hold a 3.4-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 33.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.6% in the 1. Deild, while NSÍ II holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 81% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
NSÍ II
Probability
42.6%
Model confidence
42.6%
NSÍ II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 8 · avg 3.00/1.60
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40