Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NSÍ II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
NSÍ II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while HB II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HB II hold a 2.6-point power-rating edge (37.2 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.3% in the 1. Deild, while NSÍ II holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
NSÍ II
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
13.3%
NSÍ II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 17 · avg 0.40/3.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40