GGOALVIO

Serbia · Super Liga · 8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

OFK Beograd · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Novi Pazar are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while OFK Beograd are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and OFK Beograd hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (36.8 v 44.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.3% in the Super Liga, while OFK Beograd holds the strongest overall chance at 34% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

OFK Beograd

Probability

34.3%

Model confidence

34.3%

OFK Beograd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Novi PazarDWLDL

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
OFK BeogradLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 9 · avg 0.20/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Novi PazarOFK Beograd
16.7Attack44.4
50.0Defence44.4
33.3Form44.4
36.8Power44.3
1.20xG1.25
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