Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Novara · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Novara are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Inter U23 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 52.4 against 51.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Novara holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Novara
Probability
47.8%
Model confidence
10.0%
Novara has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00