Nova IguaçuvsXV de Piracicaba

Nova Iguaçu are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded, while XV de Piracicaba are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.5% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.