Nova IguaçuvsNoroeste

Nova Iguaçu are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Noroeste are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Noroeste hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.0% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 12% for over 2.5 goals.