GGOALVIO

Nova Iguaçu logoNova IguaçuvsCFRJ / Maricá logoCFRJ / Maricá

COMPLETED

Brazil · Serie D · 4/12/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Nova Iguaçu are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while CFRJ / Maricá are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Nova Iguaçu hold a 3.2-point power-rating edge (46.1 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.6%

Model confidence

47.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nova IguaçuLLWDD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
CFRJ / MaricáWDLWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Nova IguaçuCFRJ / Maricá
23.3Attack30.0
66.7Defence53.3
40.0Form36.7
46.1Power42.9
0.73xG0.54
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