Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nové Sady · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Nové Sady are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LDDDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Šumperk are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Nové Sady hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (31.3 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the Cup, while Nové Sady holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nové Sady
Probability
42.5%
Model confidence
9.2%
Nové Sady has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40