GGOALVIO

England · League One · 8/15/2026, 11:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Notts County · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Notts County are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Leicester are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.8% in the League One, while Notts County holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Notts County

Probability

40.4%

Model confidence

13.8%

Notts County has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Notts CountyDDLLL

GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
LeicesterWLDWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Notts CountyLeicester
50.0Attack50.0
50.0Defence50.0
50.0Form50.0
50.0Power50.0
1.40xG1.19
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