Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Notodden · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Notodden are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Sandviken are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and notodden hold a 7.7-point power-rating edge (51.5 v 43.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely result in the 2. Division - Group 1, favouring Notodden with 9.8% confidence, a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Notodden
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
9.8%
Notodden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80