GGOALVIO

Nosta logoNostavsOrenburg II logoOrenburg II

COMPLETED

Russia · Second League - Group 4 · 7/5/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Orenburg II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Nosta are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Orenburg II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Orenburg II hold a 16.4-point power-rating edge (28.6 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.9% in the Second League - Group 4, while Orenburg II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Orenburg II

Probability

59.9%

Model confidence

59.9%

Orenburg II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NostaLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Orenburg IILDLLL

GF 7 · GA 16 · avg 1.40/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
NostaOrenburg II
26.7Attack46.7
25.0Defence46.7
23.3Form38.3
28.6Power45.1
0.88xG2.00
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