Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Izhevsk · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Nosta are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Izhevsk are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Izhevsk hold a 17.7-point power-rating edge (28.6 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.0% in the Second League - Group 4, while Izhevsk holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Izhevsk
Probability
62.0%
Model confidence
62.0%
Izhevsk has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 8 · avg 0.40/1.60
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80