Nostavs
Chelyabinsk II
COMPLETEDRussia · Second League - Group 4 · 8/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Nosta are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLWL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Chelyabinsk II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and chelyabinsk II hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (28.6 v 34.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Second League - Group 4, favouring a draw with 15.0% confidence, a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
33.5%
Model confidence
15.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 12 · avg 0.40/2.40
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80