Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nosaby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Nosaby are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Räppe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nosaby hold an 18.6-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 34.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.7% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Nosaby holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nosaby
Probability
69.7%
Model confidence
69.7%
Nosaby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60