Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Nosaby · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Nosaby are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Karlshamn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Nosaby hold a 27.2-point power-rating edge (53.3 v 26.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.2% in the Division 2 - Södra Götaland, while Nosaby holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 80% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Nosaby
Probability
80.2%
Model confidence
80.2%
Nosaby has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40