Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
West Brom · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Norwich are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded, while West Brom are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and West Brom hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (53.9 v 56.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Championship, while West Brom holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
West Brom
Probability
36.7%
Model confidence
14.2%
West Brom has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 17 · GA 3 · avg 3.40/0.60