Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norwich · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Norwich are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Osasuna are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Osasuna hold a 3.7-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.4% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Norwich holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Norwich
Probability
35.4%
Model confidence
35.4%
Norwich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 0 · avg 1.40/0.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20