Norwichvs
Milton Keynes Dons
COMPLETEDEngland · League Cup · 8/8/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norwich · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Norwich are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Milton Keynes Dons are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Norwich hold a 47.2-point power-rating edge (62.6 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the League Cup, while Norwich holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Norwich
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Norwich has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.20/0.40
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 0.60/1.00