GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Colchester · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Norwich are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Colchester are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Colchester hold a 32.0-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 70.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Colchester holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Colchester

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Colchester has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NorwichWLDWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
ColchesterWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NorwichColchester
38.9Attack80.0
44.4Defence73.3
27.8Form66.7
38.2Power70.2
1.10xG2.25
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