GGOALVIO

Australia · New South Wales NPL 2 · 7/11/2026, 6:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Tigers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Northern Tigers are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Newcastle Jets II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Tigers hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (63.3 v 41.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.0% in the New South Wales NPL 2, while Northern Tigers holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 74% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Tigers

Probability

72.0%

Model confidence

72.0%

Northern Tigers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern TigersWWLWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Newcastle Jets IILLLLD

GF 10 · GA 18 · avg 2.00/3.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Northern TigersNewcastle Jets II
58.3Attack59.5
66.7Defence27.4
63.1Form33.3
63.3Power41.8
2.96xG1.03
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