GGOALVIO

Australia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/2/2026, 2:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Northern Rangers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ulverstone U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northern Rangers

Probability

69.6%

Model confidence

7.3%

Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northern RangersWWWWW

GF 28 · GA 8 · avg 5.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Ulverstone U21WDWWL

GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
Northern RangersUlverstone U21
100.0Attack83.3
59.3Defence42.6
94.4Form61.1
80.0Power60.4
4.11xG1.89
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