Northern Rangersvs
Ulverstone U21
COMPLETEDAustralia · Tasmania Northern Championship · 5/2/2026, 2:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Northern Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1
Northern Rangers are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 5.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Ulverstone U21 are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and Northern Rangers hold a 19.6-point power-rating edge (80.0 v 60.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Tasmania Northern Championship, while Northern Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 70% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Northern Rangers
Probability
69.6%
Model confidence
7.3%
Northern Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 28 · GA 8 · avg 5.60/1.60
GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80