GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 2/20/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northcote City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Northcote City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Western United II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Northcote City hold a 24.9-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 40.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 77.5% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Northcote City holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northcote City

Probability

77.5%

Model confidence

77.5%

Northcote City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northcote CityWLLDW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Western United IIWLWWD

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Northcote CityWestern United II
59.4Attack63.9
65.2Defence12.5
66.7Form36.1
64.9Power40.1
3.70xG1.16
View match centre →