GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 4/17/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northcote City · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Northcote City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Port Melbourne are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Northcote City hold a 38.1-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 85.0% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Northcote City holds the strongest overall chance at 85% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northcote City

Probability

85.0%

Model confidence

85.0%

Northcote City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northcote CityWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Port MelbourneWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 7 · avg 0.80/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Northcote CityPort Melbourne
59.4Attack19.4
65.2Defence27.8
66.7Form23.6
64.9Power26.8
3.16xG0.51
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