Northcote Cityvs
Melbourne Victory II
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL 2 · 5/1/2026, 10:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Northcote City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Northcote City are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Melbourne Victory II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Northcote City hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.3% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Northcote City holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Northcote City
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
Northcote City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60