GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 7/3/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northcote City · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Northcote City are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Melbourne Srbija are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Northcote City hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 53.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Northcote City holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northcote City

Probability

49.2%

Model confidence

49.2%

Northcote City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northcote CityWLWWW

GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Melbourne SrbijaWWDWW

GF 9 · GA 2 · avg 1.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Northcote CityMelbourne Srbija
59.4Attack38.9
65.2Defence65.3
66.7Form50.0
64.9Power53.4
1.41xG0.73
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