GGOALVIO

Northcote City logoNorthcote CityvsMelbourne Knights logoMelbourne Knights

COMPLETED

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 7/10/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Knights · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Northcote City are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Melbourne Knights are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Knights hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 69.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.8% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 50% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Knights

Probability

36.8%

Model confidence

36.8%

Melbourne Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northcote CityLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Melbourne KnightsWLLDW

GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Northcote CityMelbourne Knights
59.4Attack65.3
65.2Defence72.2
66.7Form70.8
64.9Power69.3
1.13xG1.29
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