GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 7/31/2026, 10:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northcote City · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Northcote City are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Eltham Redbacks FC are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Northcote City hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (64.9 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.6% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Northcote City holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northcote City

Probability

51.6%

Model confidence

51.6%

Northcote City has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Northcote CityWDLLW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Eltham Redbacks FCLDWWL

GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Northcote CityEltham Redbacks FC
59.4Attack75.0
65.2Defence45.8
66.7Form48.6
64.9Power54.6
2.20xG1.42
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