GGOALVIO

England · League Two · 8/15/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Northampton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Northampton are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Swindon Town are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Northampton hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.1% in the League Two, while Northampton holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Northampton

Probability

46.4%

Model confidence

11.1%

Northampton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NorthamptonLWDWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Swindon TownLWWLL

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
NorthamptonSwindon Town
50.0Attack55.8
50.0Defence39.9
50.0Form39.1
50.0Power46.2
1.86xG1.43
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