North Texasvs
Tacoma Defiance
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 8/9/2026, 12:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
North Texas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 50.1 against 49.6. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the MLS Next Pro, favouring a draw with 12.0% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.9%
Model confidence
12.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40