North Texasvs
St. Louis City II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 7/5/2026, 12:45:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Texas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
North Texas are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while St. Louis City II are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and St. Louis City II hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 50.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the MLS Next Pro, while North Texas holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
North Texas
Probability
39.4%
Model confidence
39.4%
North Texas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80