North Texasvs
Sporting KC II
COMPLETEDUSA · MLS Next Pro · 5/17/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Texas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
North Texas are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sporting KC II are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and North Texas hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while North Texas holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
North Texas
Probability
68.3%
Model confidence
68.3%
North Texas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80