GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 4/11/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Texas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

North Texas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sporting KC II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and North Texas hold a 15.3-point power-rating edge (47.9 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while North Texas holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Texas

Probability

68.3%

Model confidence

68.3%

North Texas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North TexasWLLWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting KC IILLLDL

GF 3 · GA 14 · avg 0.60/2.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
North TexasSporting KC II
52.4Attack43.9
47.6Defence16.7
42.9Form28.8
47.9Power32.5
3.00xG1.24
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