GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/16/2026, 12:45:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Texas · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

North Texas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLDWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Portland Timbers II are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Timbers II hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 58.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.1% in the MLS Next Pro, while North Texas holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 46% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Texas

Probability

36.4%

Model confidence

14.1%

North Texas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North TexasWLDWL

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Portland Timbers IIDWWWD

GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
North TexasPortland Timbers II
55.0Attack42.4
50.0Defence63.6
45.0Form63.6
50.1Power58.4
1.28xG1.23
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