GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 7/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

North Geelong Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

North Geelong Warriors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Port Melbourne are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and North Geelong Warriors hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the Victoria NPL 2, while North Geelong Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

North Geelong Warriors

Probability

59.4%

Model confidence

59.4%

North Geelong Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North Geelong WarriorsWWWLL

GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Port MelbourneLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
North Geelong WarriorsPort Melbourne
45.8Attack19.4
29.2Defence27.8
38.9Form23.6
40.5Power26.8
2.27xG1.12
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