North Geelong Warriorsvs
Port Melbourne
COMPLETEDAustralia · Victoria NPL 2 · 7/4/2026, 7:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
North Geelong Warriors · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
North Geelong Warriors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Port Melbourne are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and North Geelong Warriors hold a 13.7-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 26.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.4% in the Victoria NPL 2, while North Geelong Warriors holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
North Geelong Warriors
Probability
59.4%
Model confidence
59.4%
North Geelong Warriors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20