GGOALVIO

North Geelong Warriors logoNorth Geelong WarriorsvsMelbourne Victory II logoMelbourne Victory II

COMPLETED

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 7/18/2026, 7:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Victory II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Highconfidence

North Geelong Warriors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Melbourne Victory II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Victory II hold a 20.5-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 61.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 66.3% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Victory II holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Victory II

Probability

66.3%

Model confidence

66.3%

Melbourne Victory II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North Geelong WarriorsLDWWW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Melbourne Victory IIDLWWW

GF 17 · GA 9 · avg 3.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
North Geelong WarriorsMelbourne Victory II
45.8Attack75.4
29.2Defence49.3
38.9Form58.0
40.5Power61.0
1.45xG3.18
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