GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 2/14/2026, 4:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Melbourne Knights · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

North Geelong Warriors are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DDLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Melbourne Knights are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Melbourne Knights hold a 28.8-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 69.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 75.0% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Melbourne Knights holds the strongest overall chance at 75% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Melbourne Knights

Probability

75.0%

Model confidence

75.0%

Melbourne Knights has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North Geelong WarriorsDDLLL

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Melbourne KnightsLLDLL

GF 3 · GA 20 · avg 0.60/4.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
North Geelong WarriorsMelbourne Knights
45.8Attack65.3
29.2Defence72.2
38.9Form70.8
40.5Power69.3
0.81xG2.83
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