GGOALVIO

Australia · Victoria NPL 2 · 3/28/2026, 6:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Eltham Redbacks FC · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-3

Lowconfidence

North Geelong Warriors are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Eltham Redbacks FC are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Eltham Redbacks FC hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (40.5 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Victoria NPL 2, while Eltham Redbacks FC holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Eltham Redbacks FC

Probability

64.5%

Model confidence

8.1%

Eltham Redbacks FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

North Geelong WarriorsWLLWW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Eltham Redbacks FCWWDWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
North Geelong WarriorsEltham Redbacks FC
45.8Attack75.0
29.2Defence45.8
38.9Form48.6
40.5Power54.6
1.58xG3.10
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