Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Norrby IF · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Norrby IF are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Orebro SK are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Norrby IF hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (47.0 v 38.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.9% in the Superettan, while Norrby IF holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Norrby IF
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
16.9%
Norrby IF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80