GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Noroeste are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while XV de Piracicaba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.7%

Model confidence

43.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

NoroesteLLWWW

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
XV de PiracicabaWWLWD

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NoroesteXV de Piracicaba
38.9Attack40.5
69.4Defence66.7
44.4Form52.4
51.9Power54.7
0.82xG0.68
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