Noroestevs
XV de Piracicaba
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 4/11/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Noroeste are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while XV de Piracicaba are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and XV de Piracicaba hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 54.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.7% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
43.7%
Model confidence
43.7%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60