NoroestevsSampaio Corrêa RJ

Noroeste are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Sampaio Corrêa RJ are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Noroeste hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 45.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 20% BTTS chance and 13% for over 2.5 goals.