Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Mika · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Noah II are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Mika are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Mika hold a 39.5-point power-rating edge (19.4 v 58.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.0% in the First League, while Mika holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 75% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Mika
Probability
48.0%
Model confidence
48.0%
Mika has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20