GGOALVIO

Estonia · Cup · 7/23/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Nõmme United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Lowconfidence

Nõmme United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Raplamaa are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 4.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 8 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United hold a 90.0-point power-rating edge (97.0 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.2% in the Cup, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 83% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Nõmme United

Probability

66.3%

Model confidence

8.2%

Nõmme United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Nõmme UnitedWWLWL

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
RaplamaaLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/4.33

BTTS 3/3O2.5 3/3
Nõmme UnitedRaplamaa
100.0Attack0.0
100.0Defence0.0
100.0Form0.0
97.0Power7.0
3.20xG1.55
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