Nõmme UnitedvsFS Jelgava

Nõmme United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 2.40 conceded, while FS Jelgava are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (LDDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Nõmme United hold a 59.8-point power-rating edge (92.9 v 33.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Nõmme United holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.