Nõmme United IIvsTartu Welco

Nõmme United II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Tartu Welco are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 5.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Tartu Welco hold a 29.5-point power-rating edge (40.9 v 70.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 74.0% in the Esiliiga A, while Tartu Welco holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.